Norfolk State
MEAC · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#80
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#106
−9.6 pts · likely #76–120
Strength of schedule
24.3
#70 of 129
Strength of victory
11.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 47.2%
Remaining SOS
18.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Norfolk State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Florida A&M | L 23-24 | +6.5 | 0.0 | 0.434 | 2 | +2.3 |
| 3 | vs Hampton | L 7-37 | −8.4 | −2.1 | 0.093 | 4 | −35.2 |
| 4 | at VMI | W 32-10 | −11.1 | +2.1 | 0.111 | 3 | +8.5 |
| 5 | vs (N) North Carolina Central | L 10-37 | +2.7 | 0.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Sacred Heart · p 0.123
- Wk 7: vs Towson · p 0.341
- Wk 9: vs Howard · p 0.112
- Wk 10: at Morgan State · p 0.241
- Wk 12: vs Delaware State · p 0.042
- Wk 13: at South Carolina State · p 0.273
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at East CarolinaFBS · L 3-42
- Wk 2: vs Virginia StateDII · W 28-23