Mercer
Southern · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 22% of the time
Power
#13
+13.3 pts · likely #6–36
Strength of schedule
23.6
#73 of 129
Strength of victory
23.6
#14
Record SOS
0.453
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 55.8%
Remaining SOS
37.5
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | W 63-10 | −19.1 | −2.1 | 0.020 | 4 | +14.0 |
| 2 | at Bethune-Cookman | W 31-2 | −5.7 | +2.1 | 0.197 | 3 | +22.7 |
| 3 | at Chattanooga | W 10-3 | +7.8 | +2.1 | 0.526 | 1 | +16.1 |
| 4 | vs The Citadel | W 38-21 | −10.5 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Princeton · p 0.272
- Wk 8: at Samford · p 0.309
- Wk 9: vs Western Carolina · p 0.334
- Wk 10: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.429
- Wk 11: at VMI · p 0.060
- Wk 13: vs Furman · p 0.342
- Wk 15: vs Rhode Island · p 0.387
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.865