Wagner
NEC · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#116
−12.5 pts · likely #86–124
Strength of schedule
18.6
#86 of 129
Strength of victory
13.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.486
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 45.8%
Remaining SOS
22.2
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Wagner. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lehigh | L 13-49 | −2.1 | +2.1 | 0.270 | 2 | −31.5 |
| 3 | at Delaware State | W 30-7 | −9.1 | +2.1 | 0.139 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 4 | vs Robert Morris | L 14-21 | −4.3 | −2.1 | 0.148 | 3 | −13.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Stonehill · p 0.106
- Wk 7: vs Columbia · p 0.278
- Wk 8: vs Saint Francis · p 0.119
- Wk 10: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.273
- Wk 12: at Duquesne · p 0.400
- Wk 13: vs Long Island · p 0.160
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 46-7
- Wk 5: at Florida AtlanticFBS · L 10-41