Georgetown
Patriot · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#57
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#98
−5.8 pts · likely #63–111
Strength of schedule
16.5
#91 of 129
Strength of victory
16.4
#23
Record SOS
0.590
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 57.1%
Remaining SOS
29.3
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Georgetown. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Davidson | W 46-24 | −6.5 | −2.1 | 0.117 | 3 | +9.1 |
| 2 | at Marist | W 31-10 | −23.7 | +2.1 | 0.019 | 4 | −1.4 |
| 3 | at Sacred Heart | L 14-40 | −16.6 | +2.1 | 0.055 | 4 | −34.1 |
| 4 | vs Brown | L 14-26 | +2.3 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Lafayette · p 0.498
- Wk 8: at Colgate · p 0.325
- Wk 9: vs Bucknell · p 0.126
- Wk 10: vs Lehigh · p 0.271
- Wk 12: at Fordham · p 0.093
- Wk 13: vs Holy Cross · p 0.448