William & Mary
CAA · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#11
A #25-level team matches it 34% of the time
Power
#12
+13.5 pts · likely #5–40
Strength of schedule
23.1
#77 of 129
Strength of victory
23.1
#15
Record SOS
0.491
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 55.6%
Remaining SOS
29.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Towson · p 0.450
- Wk 8: vs Campbell · p 0.206
- Wk 9: at Stony Brook · p 0.354
- Wk 10: at North Carolina A&T · p 0.073
- Wk 11: vs Elon · p 0.306
- Wk 12: vs Bryant · p 0.148
- Wk 13: at Richmond · p 0.522
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Coastal CarolinaFBS · L 21-40