Montana State
Big Sky · 4-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 44% of the time
Power
#4
+18.2 pts · likely #3–23
Strength of schedule
17.7
#89 of 129
Strength of victory
17.7
#21
Record SOS
0.430
Opp. 31.3% · Opp. opp. 66.5%
Remaining SOS
49.8
11 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-7 | −11.5 | +2.1 | 0.106 | 3 | +15.4 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 41-24 | −0.1 | −2.1 | 0.223 | 3 | +15.7 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 52-13 | −11.6 | −2.1 | 0.062 | 4 | +20.8 |
| 5 | at Idaho State | W 37-17 | −0.1 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.048
- Wk 7: vs Idaho · p 0.570
- Wk 8: at Portland State · p 0.215
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.441
- Wk 11: vs Sacramento State · p 0.515
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.520
- Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.613
- Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.400
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.570
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.831
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.758
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31