Gardner-Webb
OVC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#77
−3.1 pts · likely #47–108
Strength of schedule
15.3
#95 of 129
Strength of victory
5.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.500
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 61.1%
Remaining SOS
26.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Wofford | L 20-21 | +0.1 | −2.1 | 0.228 | 3 | −3.6 |
| 4 | at Presbyterian | W 42-21 | −17.2 | +2.1 | 0.051 | 4 | +4.1 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 21-52 | −2.4 | −2.1 | 0.181 | 3 | −26.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at UT Martin · p 0.512
- Wk 8: vs Lindenwood · p 0.197
- Wk 9: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.595
- Wk 10: at Charleston Southern · p 0.159
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.149
- Wk 12: vs Tennessee State · p 0.129
- Wk 13: at Western Illinois · p 0.088
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at James MadisonFBS · L 6-13
- Wk 3: at CharlotteFBS · L 26-27