UC Davis
Big Sky · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#27
+7.8 pts · likely #13–62
Strength of schedule
30.4
#52 of 129
Strength of victory
30.4
#9
Record SOS
0.478
Opp. 37.5% · Opp. opp. 68.4%
Remaining SOS
45.0
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 36-22 | −13.4 | −2.1 | 0.049 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 24-21 | +6.6 | +2.1 | 0.493 | 2 | +11.2 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 32-14 | −11.4 | −2.1 | 0.063 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 28-26 | +15.3 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Portland State · p 0.215
- Wk 7: vs Cal Poly · p 0.136
- Wk 8: at Eastern Washington · p 0.441
- Wk 10: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.048
- Wk 11: at Montana · p 0.716
- Wk 12: vs Montana State · p 0.679
- Wk 13: at Sacramento State · p 0.626
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.353
- Wk 16: at South Dakota · p 0.838
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-31