Abilene Christian
UAC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#46
+4.7 pts · likely #21–76
Strength of schedule
23.5
#74 of 129
Strength of victory
11.4
#27
Record SOS
0.351
Opp. 20.8% · Opp. opp. 63.5%
Remaining SOS
49.5
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Abilene Christian. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs West Georgia | W 38-24 | −5.1 | −2.1 | 0.136 | 3 | +6.1 |
| 3 | at Northern Colorado | W 24-22 | −16.8 | +2.1 | 0.054 | 4 | −9.8 |
| 4 | vs Idaho | L 24-27 | +14.7 | −2.1 | 0.599 | 1 | +8.5 |
| 5 | at Utah Tech | W 55-30 | −8.3 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.655
- Wk 7: at North Alabama · p 0.237
- Wk 8: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.502
- Wk 10: vs Southern Utah · p 0.358
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.370
- Wk 12: at Tarleton State · p 0.550
- Wk 13: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.479
- Wk 14: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.443
- Wk 15: at North Dakota State · p 0.865
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 51-52