Sacramento State
Big Sky · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#29
A #25-level team matches it 78% of the time
Power
#15
+11.1 pts · likely #7–50
Strength of schedule
30.8
#48 of 129
Strength of victory
25.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.485
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 45.4%
Remaining SOS
36.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Nicholls State | W 34-7 | +5.3 | −2.1 | 0.348 | 2 | +25.5 |
| 4 | at East Texas A&M | W 34-0 | −7.7 | +2.1 | 0.161 | 3 | +24.4 |
| 5 | at Northern Arizona | L 16-34 | +3.8 | +2.1 | 0.416 | 2 | −7.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.332
- Wk 8: vs Weber State · p 0.427
- Wk 9: at Idaho State · p 0.296
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.142
- Wk 11: at Montana State · p 0.773
- Wk 12: at Cal Poly · p 0.208
- Wk 13: vs UC Davis · p 0.408
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San José StateFBS · L 24-42
- Wk 2: at Fresno StateFBS · L 30-46