Bucknell
Patriot · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 90% of the time
Power
#96
−5.6 pts · likely #62–111
Strength of schedule
16.7
#90 of 129
Strength of victory
17.1
#22
Record SOS
0.373
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 61.8%
Remaining SOS
31.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Bucknell. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Penn · p 0.518
- Wk 8: vs Cornell · p 0.245
- Wk 9: at Georgetown · p 0.193
- Wk 10: vs Lafayette · p 0.387
- Wk 11: vs Fordham · p 0.054
- Wk 12: at Holy Cross · p 0.561
- Wk 13: vs Colgate · p 0.230
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at NavyFBS · L 21-49