Weber State
Big Sky · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#56
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#25
+8.1 pts · likely #13–59
Strength of schedule
20.5
#81 of 129
Strength of victory
15.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.411
Opp. 35.4% · Opp. opp. 52.4%
Remaining SOS
42.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Weber State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Portland State | W 43-16 | −0.4 | −2.1 | 0.218 | 3 | +20.7 |
| 3 | at Lamar | L 16-17 | −4.6 | +2.1 | 0.217 | 3 | −1.5 |
| 4 | at Northwestern State | W 39-0 | −11.9 | +2.1 | 0.101 | 3 | +21.7 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | L 26-28 | +2.7 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Montana · p 0.716
- Wk 7: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.048
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.626
- Wk 10: at Northern Arizona · p 0.556
- Wk 11: vs Idaho State · p 0.206
- Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.677
- Wk 13: vs Cal Poly · p 0.136
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at WashingtonFBS · L 3-35