Tarleton State
UAC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 31% of the time
Power
#23
+8.7 pts · likely #12–57
Strength of schedule
25.6
#66 of 129
Strength of victory
25.6
#12
Record SOS
0.705
Opp. 68.8% · Opp. opp. 74.0%
Remaining SOS
40.1
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs McNeese | W 26-23 | +3.6 | −2.1 | 0.305 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 2 | at Houston Christian | W 35-18 | −3.9 | +2.1 | 0.231 | 3 | +13.6 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 28-14 | −2.9 | +2.1 | 0.253 | 2 | +12.6 |
| 5 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | W 36-33 | +0.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Southern Utah · p 0.468
- Wk 7: vs Utah Tech · p 0.068
- Wk 9: at Austin Peay · p 0.370
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.502
- Wk 11: at West Georgia · p 0.200
- Wk 12: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.332
- Wk 13: vs Central Arkansas · p 0.655
- Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.176
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.838
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BaylorFBS · L 3-45