Central Arkansas
UAC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 37% of the time
Power
#6
+16.6 pts · likely #3–24
Strength of schedule
21.4
#79 of 129
Strength of victory
21.4
#18
Record SOS
0.523
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 56.9%
Remaining SOS
33.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lindenwood | W 34-13 | −0.4 | +2.1 | 0.310 | 2 | +21.4 |
| 3 | vs Austin Peay | W 45-17 | +4.6 | −2.1 | 0.331 | 2 | +28.3 |
| 4 | at Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 56-17 | −18.3 | +2.1 | 0.044 | 4 | +18.3 |
| 5 | vs Lamar | W 34-14 | −2.8 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Abilene Christian · p 0.440
- Wk 7: vs West Georgia · p 0.130
- Wk 9: vs North Alabama · p 0.159
- Wk 10: at Utah Tech · p 0.114
- Wk 11: at Eastern Kentucky · p 0.613
- Wk 12: vs Southern Utah · p 0.358
- Wk 13: at Tarleton State · p 0.550
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Arkansas StateFBS · L 31-34