Colgate
Patriot · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#64
+0.5 pts · likely #35–93
Strength of schedule
43.4
#14 of 129
Strength of victory
38.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.583
Opp. 62.5% · Opp. opp. 49.8%
Remaining SOS
27.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Holy Cross · p 0.448
- Wk 8: vs Georgetown · p 0.125
- Wk 9: at Merrimack · p 0.281
- Wk 10: at Fordham · p 0.093
- Wk 11: vs Lafayette · p 0.387
- Wk 12: at Lehigh · p 0.372
- Wk 13: at Bucknell · p 0.194
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at AkronFBS · L 20-31