Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2022 Week 5 · through Sunday, October 2

Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +15.2 · #10 +10.9 · middle +0.1
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 54.8 · #10 44.5 · middle 29.7 · easiest 13.0
SOR (lower is better): #1 13% · #25 64%

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 218 FCS games · run 31c027bfc42a

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

WoffordSouthern

0-4

0-5

100%

−9.6

46.3

—

0.632

33.7

Western IllinoisMVFC

0-4

0-5

100%

−10.3

38.4

—

0.569

37.9

Utah TechWAC

0-4

1-4

100%

−8.3

44.2

—

0.709

29.7

Stony BrookCAA

0-3

0-4

100%

−9.6

43.5

—

0.632

34.6

San DiegoPioneer

0-3

1-3

100%

−7.7

23.4

—

0.139

14.9

Robert MorrisBig South

0-3

0-4

100%

−10.6

15.7

109

—

0.221

22.1

PresbyterianPioneer

0-4

1-4

100%

−14.9

31.4

—

0.451

13.6

North AlabamaASUN

0-3

1-3

100%

−6.8

32.7

—

0.517

40.5

Norfolk StateMEAC

0-3

0-5

100%

−8.9

25.0

—

0.444

26.3

Nicholls StateSouthland

0-3

0-5

100%

−8.9

37.6

—

0.642

32.0

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

0-4

0-5

100%

−13.0

45.1

—

0.642

25.1

McNeeseSouthland

0-3

1-4

100%

−6.9

48.2

—

0.595

23.6

Long IslandNEC

0-3

0-5

100%

−3.3

29.0

—

0.326

23.6

LamarSouthland

0-4

0-5

100%

−5.8

24.8

—

0.453

36.7

Idaho StateBig Sky

0-3

0-5

100%

−5.0

39.7

—

0.536

37.7

DrakePioneer

0-4

0-5

100%

−11.9

35.4

—

0.514

19.8

Charleston SouthernBig South

0-3

0-4

100%

−6.0

32.7

—

0.526

27.0

Central Connecticut StateNEC

0-4

0-5

100%

−9.8

39.4

—

0.463

19.9

BucknellPatriot

0-3

0-4

100%

−6.6

16.5

108

—

0.333

27.2

Murray StateOVC

0-3

0-5

100%

−12.1

39.8

—

0.581

31.5

HowardMEAC

0-3

1-4

100%

−2.7

31.0

—

0.481

25.3

MaristPioneer

1-3

100%

−15.2

14.8

111

13.1

0.260

13.4

GeorgetownPatriot

1-4

100%

−8.9

28.8

11.6

0.463

30.1

Morehead StatePioneer

1-3

2-3

100%

−10.7

36.2

3.1

0.481

18.3

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

1-2

1-3

100%

−5.1

15.5

110

17.1

0.245

33.5

BryantBig South

1-3

1-4

100%

−4.3

25.5

27.4

0.333

31.3

ColgatePatriot

1-3

1-4

99%

−5.2

30.5

19.3

0.586

21.7

Grambling StateSWAC

1-3

1-4

99%

−6.2

33.6

17.5

0.477

22.2

VMISouthern

1-2

1-3

99%

−5.1

21.6

13.3

0.375

38.1

East Tennessee StateSouthern

1-3

2-3

99%

+2.3

29.8

22.9

0.369

36.4

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

1-3

1-4

99%

−2.7

29.9

36.2

0.583

31.7

Delaware StateMEAC

1-2

3-2

99%

−6.5

30.3

6.2

0.458

29.1

LehighPatriot

1-4

99%

−8.1

42.8

15.9

0.584

29.4

Cal PolyBig Sky

1-2

1-3

99%

−8.5

26.9

9.2

0.358

35.9

ValparaisoPioneer

1-2

2-2

99%

−4.3

26.9

9.9

0.235

9.6

Alabama A&MSWAC

1-2

1-4

99%

−5.8

25.0

15.5

0.498

26.1

BrownIvy

1-2

99%

−6.5

26.0

14.9

0.492

33.9

UAlbanyCAA

1-2

1-3

99%

+2.0

31.0

8.5

0.539

35.3

DartmouthIvy

1-2

99%

+2.0

24.5

20.5

0.537

35.4

Eastern IllinoisOVC

1-2

1-3

98%

−5.3

29.1

13.3

0.480

25.4

UC DavisBig Sky

1-3

1-4

98%

+3.4

40.9

15.5

0.569

31.4

Northwestern StateSouthland

2-2

2-3

98%

−9.0

24.9

11.8

0.366

40.9

Kennesaw StateASUN

1-2

1-3

98%

+0.6

44.5

5.4

0.656

29.5

Indiana StateMVFC

1-2

1-3

98%

−5.5

35.0

10.5

0.490

37.1

Tennessee TechOVC

1-2

1-3

97%

−2.2

35.4

16.5

0.519

27.2

Texas SouthernSWAC

1-2

1-4

96%

+2.2

36.8

46.4

0.559

27.2

South DakotaMVFC

1-2

1-3

96%

+0.1

46.2

10.8

0.712

37.9

Stephen F. AustinWAC

1-2

2-3

95%

−1.5

39.5

39.0

0.619

32.7

Alcorn StateSWAC

2-1

2-2

95%

+0.5

14.3

112

13.7

0.201

29.8

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

2-2

2-3

95%

−0.6

27.2

20.2

0.388

36.7

Northern IowaMVFC

2-2

2-3

95%

+3.3

27.3

15.9

0.528

29.2

Sacred HeartNEC

3-2

94%

−1.6

20.3

101

17.6

0.305

25.8

LindenwoodOVC

1-2

2-2

94%

−6.7

39.3

41.4

0.705

25.0

DaytonPioneer

2-1

3-1

93%

−5.5

19.8

105

8.7

0.273

15.8

MerrimackNEC

2-2

3-2

92%

+0.1

30.7

18.1

0.521

23.5

LafayettePatriot

2-2

2-3

92%

−2.9

29.5

21.3

0.532

31.7

Illinois StateMVFC

2-1

2-2

91%

+2.9

18.5

107

16.7

0.472

36.8

Sam HoustonWAC

2-1

2-2

90%

−1.2

19.9

104

23.1

0.306

32.8

Houston ChristianSouthland

2-1

2-2

90%

+0.4

21.2

27.9

0.349

28.4

The CitadelSouthern

1-2

1-3

89%

−0.8

50.7

28.9

0.552

33.3

TowsonCAA

2-2

2-3

89%

−2.7

36.0

24.0

0.624

38.1

ColumbiaIvy

2-1

89%

+7.5

21.6

14.9

0.501

25.3

Florida A&MSWAC

2-1

3-2

88%

+0.1

25.9

10.3

0.525

22.8

Central ArkansasASUN

2-2

2-3

88%

+6.2

36.7

38.9

0.573

30.6

CornellIvy

2-1

87%

−3.9

22.2

24.1

0.483

31.8

North Carolina A&TBig South

2-2

2-3

87%

−1.5

37.1

27.9

0.633

19.8

DavidsonPioneer

2-1

4-1

87%

+7.4

28.0

10.8

0.403

19.5

UT MartinOVC

3-1

3-2

83%

+6.1

19.5

106

15.3

0.468

22.4

Southern UtahWAC

3-1

3-2

82%

+3.6

20.8

14.3

0.472

27.6

Missouri StateMVFC

2-2

2-3

82%

+0.6

41.1

50.1

0.694

28.2

MonmouthCAA

3-2

81%

+9.1

33.1

30.9

0.572

28.8

HamptonCAA

2-1

3-1

80%

−3.1

31.5

16.9

0.427

37.9

Western CarolinaSouthern

3-1

3-2

80%

+4.6

22.2

14.7

0.431

38.0

HarvardIvy

2-1

78%

+0.9

31.9

20.9

0.676

35.2

Southern IllinoisMVFC

2-2

3-2

76%

+2.3

45.1

39.6

0.778

36.7

Eastern KentuckyASUN

2-1

3-2

76%

+4.0

32.5

24.8

0.533

32.3

Alabama StateSWAC

2-1

3-2

75%

+1.4

32.6

33.1

0.430

21.4

Youngstown StateMVFC

2-1

2-2

74%

+7.5

36.5

20.1

0.579

25.0

Saint FrancisNEC

3-1

3-2

73%

+7.3

26.4

16.1

0.319

29.7

FurmanSouthern

2-1

3-2

73%

+3.3

34.8

32.0

0.483

40.4

Rhode IslandCAA

3-1

3-2

72%

+5.6

26.3

19.5

0.490

39.9

VillanovaCAA

3-1

3-2

72%

+8.5

26.0

21.5

0.285

40.9

Prairie View A&MSWAC

3-2

72%

+5.4

37.9

31.8

0.626

15.9

Austin PeayASUN

4-1

4-2

72%

+6.4

21.1

18.7

0.447

28.1

YaleIvy

2-1

70%

+3.2

36.9

26.2

0.633

32.4

North DakotaMVFC

3-1

3-2

65%

+1.5

29.8

30.1

0.580

42.4

RichmondCAA

3-1

3-2

64%

+10.1

30.6

24.0

0.537

42.0

CampbellBig South

2-1

2-2

64%

+8.6

40.9

35.9

0.704

25.0

North Carolina CentralMEAC

2-1

4-1

63%

+3.0

42.0

43.8

0.708

29.1

William & MaryCAA

3-1

4-1

58%

+9.3

33.8

33.3

0.652

40.4

New HampshireCAA

3-1

3-2

54%

+5.0

36.3

42.3

0.618

37.7

IdahoBig Sky

3-0

3-2

50%

+9.3

20.1

103

20.1

0.407

41.7

Incarnate WordSouthland

3-1

4-1

45%

+13.5

40.6

34.2

0.625

31.5

Abilene ChristianWAC

3-0

4-1

45%

+5.2

22.4

0.406

30.6

PennIvy

3-0

42%

+3.5

23.9

0.544

30.2

MercerSouthern

4-0

4-1

39%

+15.2

20.2

102

20.2

0.377

37.8

Sacramento StateBig Sky

3-0

4-0

38%

+10.9

25.6

0.458

41.9

ChattanoogaSouthern

4-0

4-1

37%

+10.2

21.0

0.330

39.0

Jackson StateSWAC

4-0

37%

+14.8

21.1

0.418

29.6

South Dakota StateMVFC

4-0

4-1

34%

+7.8

22.2

0.417

43.5

Montana StateBig Sky

4-0

4-1

33%

+9.8

23.2

0.484

36.1

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

3-0

3-2

32%

+11.6

26.5

0.424

30.4

MontanaBig Sky

5-0

31%

+14.3

20.7

100

20.7

0.539

46.1

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

4-0

4-1

28%

+8.3

26.7

0.569

27.4

DelawareCAA

4-0

5-0

24%

+13.1

27.2

0.686

47.0

North Dakota StateMVFC

4-0

4-1

24%

+14.2

28.5

0.597

37.4

Jacksonville StateASUN

5-0

5-1

22%

+12.4

25.0

0.485

39.3

FordhamPatriot

4-0

4-1

21%

+6.3

28.9

0.457

26.1

PrincetonIvy

3-0

21%

+10.3

35.2

0.701

26.3

Holy CrossPatriot

4-0

5-0

20%

+12.1

33.1

0.709

25.1

SamfordSouthern

4-0

4-1

18%

+8.5

34.0

0.670

41.8

ElonCAA

4-0

4-1

13%

+7.3

35.6

0.582

37.4

—

Weber StateBig Sky

2-0

4-0

48%

+7.1

28.7

small sample

28.7

0.389

38.3

—

Tarleton StateWAC

2-0

3-1

75%

+2.8

13.0

small sample

13.0

0.247

27.4

—

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

1-1

1-3

88%

+2.1

36.5

small sample

24.1

0.486

40.2

—

South Carolina StateMEAC

1-1

1-3

93%

+1.4

26.2

small sample

31.8

0.414

21.8

—

Morgan StateMEAC

1-1

2-2

95%

+0.8

22.2

small sample

22.0

0.500

27.6

—

SouthernSWAC

1-1

2-2

97%

+0.5

16.9

small sample

14.5

0.153

38.1

—

StonehillNEC

1-0

3-0

82%

−0.1

18.1

small sample

18.1

0.167

24.0

—

Tennessee StateOVC

0-2

0-4

100%

−0.2

52.7

small sample

—

0.472

23.9

—

DuquesneNEC

0-2

1-4

100%

−2.0

41.7

small sample

—

0.444

21.9

—

East Texas A&MSouthland

0-2

2-2

100%

−2.4

26.6

small sample

—

0.287

29.7

—

Gardner-WebbBig South

0-2

1-4

100%

−3.6

54.8

small sample

—

0.785

31.5

—

Portland StateBig Sky

1-1

1-3

87%

−3.7

42.2

small sample

20.3

0.644

36.9

—

StetsonPioneer

1-1

3-1

97%

−4.2

22.8

small sample

6.8

0.653

16.8

—

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

1-1

3-1

98%

−5.0

19.5

small sample

6.9

0.417

15.6

—

WagnerNEC

0-2

0-4

100%

−6.4

34.5

small sample

—

0.646

27.5

—

MaineCAA

0-2

0-4

100%

−7.2

24.5

small sample

—

0.358

35.8

—

ButlerPioneer

0-2

2-2

100%

−9.6

45.5

small sample

—

0.597

11.5

—

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-2

2-3

100%

−11.6

23.8

small sample

—

0.167

26.8