Dayton
Pioneer · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#59
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#97
−5.5 pts · likely #55–121
Strength of schedule
19.8
#105 of 130
Strength of victory
8.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.273
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 48.6%
Remaining SOS
15.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Dayton. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Robert Morris | W 22-20 | −11.1 | +2.3 | 0.113 | 3 | −6.3 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 16-49 | +3.7 | +2.3 | 0.420 | 2 | −23.2 |
| 5 | vs Drake | W 27-14 | −11.5 | −2.3 | 0.061 | 4 | −1.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Butler · p 0.131
- Wk 7: at Marist · p 0.057
- Wk 8: vs Stetson · p 0.141
- Wk 9: vs Valparaiso · p 0.142
- Wk 10: at Presbyterian · p 0.064
- Wk 11: vs Morehead State · p 0.062
- Wk 12: at Davidson · p 0.508
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Kentucky StateDII · W 46-3