Villanova
CAA · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#31
A #25-level team matches it 72% of the time
Power
#19
+8.5 pts · likely #7–55
Strength of schedule
26.0
#75 of 130
Strength of victory
21.5
#23
Record SOS
0.285
Opp. 18.8% · Opp. opp. 47.9%
Remaining SOS
40.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Lehigh | W 45-17 | −6.6 | −2.3 | 0.112 | 3 | +17.6 |
| 2 | at Long Island | W 38-21 | −1.7 | +2.3 | 0.284 | 2 | +16.0 |
| 4 | vs Monmouth | L 42-49 | +7.4 | −2.3 | 0.395 | 2 | −0.2 |
| 5 | at Maine | W 45-20 | −3.3 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Richmond · p 0.602
- Wk 8: vs UAlbany · p 0.268
- Wk 9: vs Hampton · p 0.166
- Wk 10: at Towson · p 0.266
- Wk 11: at William & Mary · p 0.587
- Wk 12: vs Delaware · p 0.565
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArmyFBS · L 10-49