Monmouth
CAA · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 81% of the time
Power
#17
+9.1 pts · likely #7–52
Strength of schedule
33.1
#41 of 130
Strength of victory
30.9
#9
Record SOS
0.572
Opp. 63.3% · Opp. opp. 45.0%
Remaining SOS
28.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Monmouth. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at New Hampshire | L 21-31 | +2.9 | +2.3 | 0.397 | 2 | −2.8 |
| 2 | vs Fordham | L 49-52 | +4.9 | −2.3 | 0.332 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 3 | vs Georgetown | W 45-6 | −6.0 | −2.3 | 0.120 | 3 | +23.8 |
| 4 | at Villanova | W 49-42 | +10.8 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs UAlbany · p 0.268
- Wk 7: at Maine · p 0.172
- Wk 8: vs Rhode Island · p 0.356
- Wk 9: vs Towson · p 0.175
- Wk 10: at Delaware · p 0.682
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.076