Elon
CAA · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 13% of the time
Power
#27
+7.3 pts · likely #9–63
Strength of schedule
35.6
#32 of 130
Strength of victory
35.6
#2
Record SOS
0.582
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 74.5%
Remaining SOS
37.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Wofford | W 26-0 | −7.5 | +2.3 | 0.167 | 3 | +18.7 |
| 3 | vs Gardner-Webb | W 30-24 | −6.1 | −2.3 | 0.119 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 4 | at William & Mary | W 35-31 | +11.9 | +2.3 | 0.637 | 1 | +15.6 |
| 5 | vs Richmond | W 30-27 OT | +11.3 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Towson · p 0.175
- Wk 7: at Rhode Island · p 0.476
- Wk 8: at New Hampshire · p 0.466
- Wk 9: vs Delaware · p 0.565
- Wk 10: vs UAlbany · p 0.268
- Wk 11: at Hampton · p 0.254
- Wk 13: at Furman · p 0.415
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at VanderbiltFBS · L 31-42