Eastern Illinois
OVC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#95
−5.3 pts · likely #54–121
Strength of schedule
29.1
#60 of 130
Strength of victory
13.3
1 wins
Record SOS
0.480
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 44.0%
Remaining SOS
25.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Chattanooga | L 20-38 | +9.7 | −2.3 | 0.457 | 2 | −10.1 |
| 3 | at Illinois State | L 7-35 | −1.8 | +2.3 | 0.283 | 2 | −22.9 |
| 4 | at Murray State | W 35-21 | −9.7 | +2.3 | 0.133 | 3 | +4.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Northwestern State · p 0.076
- Wk 7: vs Lindenwood · p 0.113
- Wk 8: at Tennessee State · p 0.327
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.180
- Wk 10: at McNeese · p 0.177
- Wk 11: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.421
- Wk 12: at UT Martin · p 0.485
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Northern IllinoisFBS · L 27-34