Murray State
OVC · 0-3 vs FCS · 0-5 overall
Strength of record
#92
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#127
−12.1 pts · likely #87–129
Strength of schedule
39.8
#16 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.581
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 41.1%
Remaining SOS
31.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Jacksonville State | L 3-34 | +11.7 | −2.3 | 0.513 | 1 | −20.9 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Illinois | L 21-35 | −8.4 | −2.3 | 0.091 | 4 | −21.6 |
| 5 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 14-48 | +10.1 | +2.3 | 0.590 | 1 | −20.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs UT Martin · p 0.364
- Wk 7: at Austin Peay · p 0.511
- Wk 8: at Lindenwood · p 0.184
- Wk 9: vs Tennessee State · p 0.224
- Wk 11: vs Robert Morris · p 0.065
- Wk 12: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.544
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Texas TechFBS · L 10-63
- Wk 3: at Ball StateFBS · L 0-31