Jacksonville State
ASUN · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-1 overall
Strength of record
#6
A #25-level team matches it 22% of the time
Power
#7
+12.4 pts · likely #3–34
Strength of schedule
25.0
#82 of 130
Strength of victory
25.0
#17
Record SOS
0.485
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 65.6%
Remaining SOS
39.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Jacksonville State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Stephen F. Austin | W 42-17 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 0.302 | 2 | +23.5 |
| 1 | vs Davidson | W 35-17 | +9.7 | −2.3 | 0.457 | 2 | +23.1 |
| 2 | at Murray State | W 34-3 | −10.2 | +2.3 | 0.126 | 3 | +21.2 |
| 4 | at Nicholls State | W 52-21 | −6.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs (N) North Alabama · p 0.138
- Wk 8: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.522
- Wk 9: at Austin Peay · p 0.511
- Wk 11: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.319
- Wk 12: at Central Arkansas · p 0.474
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at TulsaFBS · L 17-54