Nicholls State
Southland · 0-3 vs FCS · 0-5 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#114
−8.9 pts · likely #73–126
Strength of schedule
37.6
#23 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.642
Opp. 77.8% · Opp. opp. 36.9%
Remaining SOS
32.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Southeast Missouri State | L 16-42 | +6.9 | +2.3 | 0.505 | 1 | −15.4 |
| 4 | vs Jacksonville State | L 21-52 | +11.1 | −2.3 | 0.496 | 2 | −20.9 |
| 5 | at Northwestern State | L 33-36 | −10.1 | +2.3 | 0.127 | 3 | −9.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Houston Christian · p 0.338
- Wk 7: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.586
- Wk 8: vs McNeese · p 0.108
- Wk 9: at Lamar · p 0.192
- Wk 11: vs East Texas A&M · p 0.175
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.522
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at South AlabamaFBS · L 7-48
- Wk 2: at UL MonroeFBS · L 7-35