Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 28% of the time
Power
#21
+8.3 pts · likely #8–56
Strength of schedule
26.7
#71 of 130
Strength of victory
26.7
#14
Record SOS
0.569
Opp. 45.8% · Opp. opp. 79.2%
Remaining SOS
27.4
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Southern Illinois | W 34-31 | +1.6 | +2.3 | 0.365 | 2 | +7.6 |
| 3 | vs Nicholls State | W 42-16 | −7.5 | −2.3 | 0.101 | 3 | +14.8 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 35-27 | +6.5 | −2.3 | 0.372 | 2 | +11.9 |
| 5 | at Lindenwood | W 49-28 | −4.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Tennessee Tech · p 0.180
- Wk 8: at Northwestern State · p 0.131
- Wk 9: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.319
- Wk 10: at Tennessee State · p 0.327
- Wk 11: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.200
- Wk 12: vs Murray State · p 0.054
- Wk 13: at Montana · p 0.708
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 10-42