Northwestern State
Southland · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#71
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#117
−9.0 pts · likely #76–125
Strength of schedule
24.9
#83 of 130
Strength of victory
11.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.366
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 59.9%
Remaining SOS
40.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 0-47 | +13.2 | +2.3 | 0.670 | 1 | −18.4 |
| 2 | vs (N) Grambling State | L 21-47 | −10.9 | 0.0 | 0.088 | 4 | −32.2 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | W 35-27 | −4.0 | −2.3 | 0.151 | 3 | −0.1 |
| 5 | vs Nicholls State | W 36-33 | −8.8 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.200
- Wk 7: at Houston Christian · p 0.338
- Wk 8: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.421
- Wk 10: at East Texas A&M · p 0.266
- Wk 11: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.642
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.586
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Southern MissFBS · L 10-64