Sacramento State
Big Sky · 3-0 vs FCS · 4-0 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#10
+10.9 pts · likely #3–49
Strength of schedule
25.6
#78 of 130
Strength of victory
25.6
#16
Record SOS
0.458
Opp. 38.9% · Opp. opp. 59.7%
Remaining SOS
41.9
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Utah Tech | W 56-33 | −8.1 | −2.3 | 0.094 | 4 | +12.4 |
| 3 | at Northern Iowa | W 37-21 | +5.6 | +2.3 | 0.471 | 2 | +21.5 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 49-21 | −5.6 | +2.3 | 0.202 | 3 | +21.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.204
- Wk 7: at Eastern Washington · p 0.386
- Wk 8: vs Montana · p 0.594
- Wk 9: vs Idaho · p 0.449
- Wk 10: at Weber State · p 0.526
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.240
- Wk 12: vs UC Davis · p 0.311
- Wk 14: vs Richmond · p 0.479
- Wk 15: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.586
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 4: at Colorado StateFBS · W 41-10