Cal Poly
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#79
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#113
−8.5 pts · likely #71–125
Strength of schedule
26.9
#70 of 130
Strength of victory
9.2
1 wins
Record SOS
0.358
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 40.7%
Remaining SOS
35.9
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs San Diego | W 28-27 | −8.3 | −2.3 | 0.092 | 4 | −9.0 |
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 21-38 | −1.2 | +2.3 | 0.296 | 2 | −14.6 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | L 21-49 | +8.2 | −2.3 | 0.418 | 2 | −19.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Northern Arizona · p 0.265
- Wk 7: at Idaho State · p 0.207
- Wk 8: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.275
- Wk 9: at UC Davis · p 0.427
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.708
- Wk 11: vs Montana State · p 0.473
- Wk 12: vs Portland State · p 0.155
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Fresno StateFBS · L 7-35