Alcorn State
SWAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
#64
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#61
+0.5 pts · likely #26–100
Strength of schedule
14.3
#112 of 130
Strength of victory
13.7
2 wins
Record SOS
0.201
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 60.2%
Remaining SOS
29.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alcorn State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Stephen F. Austin | L 27-31 | −3.8 | −2.3 | 0.154 | 3 | −7.8 |
| 3 | at McNeese | W 30-19 | −5.3 | +2.3 | 0.208 | 3 | +6.4 |
| 4 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 38-21 | −10.9 | −2.3 | 0.066 | 4 | +3.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Mississippi Valley State · p 0.088
- Wk 7: at Southern · p 0.319
- Wk 8: vs Texas Southern · p 0.269
- Wk 9: at Grambling State · p 0.196
- Wk 10: at Prairie View A&M · p 0.472
- Wk 11: vs Bethune-Cookman · p 0.127
- Wk 12: vs Jackson State · p 0.617
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TulaneFBS · L 0-52