Towson
CAA · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#52
A #25-level team matches it 89% of the time
Power
#79
−2.7 pts · likely #46–110
Strength of schedule
36.0
#31 of 130
Strength of victory
24.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.624
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 54.0%
Remaining SOS
38.1
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Towson. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Bucknell | W 14-13 OT | −7.1 | +2.3 | 0.175 | 3 | −3.3 |
| 2 | vs Morgan State | W 29-21 | +3.7 | −2.3 | 0.305 | 2 | +6.5 |
| 4 | vs New Hampshire | L 14-37 | +1.5 | −2.3 | 0.253 | 2 | −20.3 |
| 5 | at Delaware | L 10-24 | +14.7 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Elon · p 0.526
- Wk 8: vs William & Mary · p 0.464
- Wk 9: at Monmouth · p 0.563
- Wk 10: vs Villanova · p 0.434
- Wk 11: at Stony Brook · p 0.131
- Wk 12: vs Hampton · p 0.166
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at West VirginiaFBS · L 7-65