North Carolina Central
MEAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 63% of the time
Power
#45
+3.0 pts · likely #16–88
Strength of schedule
42.0
#11 of 130
Strength of victory
43.8
2 wins
Record SOS
0.708
Opp. 72.2% · Opp. opp. 67.8%
Remaining SOS
29.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Carolina Central. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) North Carolina A&T | W 28-13 | +0.3 | 0.0 | 0.277 | 2 | +13.5 |
| 3 | at New Hampshire | W 45-27 | +10.4 | +2.3 | 0.599 | 1 | +25.2 |
| 5 | at Campbell | L 18-48 | +2.4 | +2.3 | 0.384 | 2 | −19.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Morgan State · p 0.235
- Wk 8: at South Carolina State · p 0.369
- Wk 9: at Delaware State · p 0.181
- Wk 10: vs Howard · p 0.167
- Wk 11: at Norfolk State · p 0.140
- Wk 12: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.273
- Wk 16: vs (N) Jackson State · p 0.674
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Winston-SalemDII · W 41-0
- Wk 4: vs Virginia LynchburgNon-NCAA · W 59-14