South Dakota State
MVFC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#13
A #25-level team matches it 34% of the time
Power
#22
+7.8 pts · likely #7–59
Strength of schedule
22.2
#90 of 130
Strength of victory
22.2
#22
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 25.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
43.5
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs UC Davis | W 24-22 | +3.0 | −2.3 | 0.287 | 2 | +3.2 |
| 3 | vs Butler | W 45-17 | −7.0 | −2.3 | 0.107 | 3 | +16.1 |
| 4 | at Missouri State | W 28-14 | +3.6 | +2.3 | 0.416 | 2 | +16.9 |
| 5 | vs Western Illinois | W 34-10 | −9.5 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs South Dakota · p 0.230
- Wk 7: at North Dakota State · p 0.713
- Wk 8: at North Dakota · p 0.362
- Wk 9: vs Indiana State · p 0.122
- Wk 10: at Northern Iowa · p 0.407
- Wk 11: vs Illinois State · p 0.286
- Wk 14: vs Delaware · p 0.565
- Wk 15: vs Holy Cross · p 0.536
- Wk 16: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.658
- Wk 16: vs Montana State · p 0.473
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at IowaFBS · L 3-7