Western Illinois
MVFC · 0-4 vs FCS · 0-5 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#122
−10.3 pts · likely #85–127
Strength of schedule
38.4
#21 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.569
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 37.5%
Remaining SOS
37.9
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at UT Martin | L 25-42 | +6.5 | +2.3 | 0.495 | 2 | −8.6 |
| 3 | vs Southern Utah | L 10-17 | +5.2 | −2.3 | 0.341 | 2 | −5.7 |
| 4 | vs Northern Iowa | L 17-52 | −2.2 | −2.3 | 0.180 | 3 | −34.0 |
| 5 | at South Dakota State | L 10-34 | +7.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Southern Illinois · p 0.371
- Wk 8: vs Youngstown State · p 0.420
- Wk 9: at Missouri State · p 0.360
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota State · p 0.599
- Wk 11: vs Indiana State · p 0.122
- Wk 12: at Illinois State · p 0.400
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at MinnesotaFBS · L 10-62