UT Martin
OVC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#45
A #25-level team matches it 83% of the time
Power
#32
+6.1 pts · likely #11–68
Strength of schedule
19.5
#106 of 130
Strength of victory
15.3
#33
Record SOS
0.468
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 73.6%
Remaining SOS
22.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UT Martin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Western Illinois | W 42-25 | −10.6 | −2.3 | 0.069 | 4 | +4.4 |
| 2 | at Missouri State | L 30-35 | −0.2 | +2.3 | 0.318 | 2 | −2.1 |
| 4 | vs Lindenwood | W 56-26 | −2.4 | −2.3 | 0.177 | 3 | +21.0 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | W 45-28 | −0.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Murray State · p 0.098
- Wk 9: at Houston Christian · p 0.338
- Wk 10: vs Kennesaw State · p 0.235
- Wk 11: at Tennessee State · p 0.327
- Wk 12: vs Eastern Illinois · p 0.125
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 7-30