UC Davis
Big Sky · 1-3 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#41
+3.4 pts · likely #20–83
Strength of schedule
40.9
#14 of 130
Strength of victory
15.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.569
Opp. 75.0% · Opp. opp. 20.8%
Remaining SOS
31.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 22-24 | +9.1 | +2.3 | 0.566 | 1 | +8.1 |
| 3 | vs San Diego | W 43-13 | −3.7 | −2.3 | 0.155 | 3 | +20.0 |
| 4 | vs Weber State | L 12-17 | +6.4 | −2.3 | 0.370 | 2 | −0.1 |
| 5 | at Montana State | L 24-41 | +8.3 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Northern Arizona · p 0.174
- Wk 8: at Northern Colorado · p 0.302
- Wk 9: vs Cal Poly · p 0.089
- Wk 10: vs Idaho State · p 0.130
- Wk 11: at Idaho · p 0.572
- Wk 12: at Sacramento State · p 0.618
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-34