Alabama State
SWAC · 2-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#36
A #25-level team matches it 75% of the time
Power
#55
+1.4 pts · likely #25–96
Strength of schedule
32.6
#45 of 130
Strength of victory
33.1
2 wins
Record SOS
0.430
Opp. 33.3% · Opp. opp. 62.2%
Remaining SOS
21.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Howard | W 23-13 | −1.4 | 0.0 | 0.241 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 15-25 | +4.2 | −2.3 | 0.315 | 2 | −6.9 |
| 5 | at Texas Southern | W 16-13 | +3.8 | +2.3 | 0.422 | 2 | +7.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Jackson State · p 0.617
- Wk 7: vs Mississippi Valley State · p 0.048
- Wk 9: vs (N) Alabama A&M · p 0.150
- Wk 10: at Bethune-Cookman · p 0.203
- Wk 11: vs Florida A&M · p 0.209
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.058
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 21-13
- Wk 2: at UCLAFBS · L 7-45