North Dakota State
MVFC · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#4
+14.2 pts · likely #2–30
Strength of schedule
28.5
#64 of 130
Strength of victory
28.5
#12
Record SOS
0.597
Opp. 54.2% · Opp. opp. 70.8%
Remaining SOS
37.4
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 56-14 | −11.3 | −2.3 | 0.063 | 4 | +20.9 |
| 2 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 43-3 | +1.8 | −2.3 | 0.261 | 2 | +31.2 |
| 4 | at South Dakota | W 34-17 | +1.7 | +2.3 | 0.366 | 2 | +19.4 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 27-14 | +9.4 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Indiana State · p 0.197
- Wk 7: vs South Dakota State · p 0.416
- Wk 9: vs Illinois State · p 0.286
- Wk 10: at Western Illinois · p 0.125
- Wk 11: at Southern Illinois · p 0.371
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota · p 0.254
- Wk 14: vs Montana · p 0.594
- Wk 15: vs Samford · p 0.429
- Wk 16: vs (N) South Dakota State · p 0.477
- Wk 16: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.586
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at ArizonaFBS · L 28-31