Western Carolina
Southern · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#37
+4.6 pts · likely #15–75
Strength of schedule
22.2
#91 of 130
Strength of victory
14.7
#34
Record SOS
0.431
Opp. 37.5% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
38.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Charleston Southern | W 52-38 | −4.9 | +2.3 | 0.215 | 3 | +10.3 |
| 3 | vs Presbyterian | W 77-21 | −12.9 | −2.3 | 0.050 | 4 | +17.9 |
| 4 | at Samford | L 12-35 | +4.8 | +2.3 | 0.447 | 2 | −12.3 |
| 5 | vs VMI | W 38-17 | −2.5 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Mercer · p 0.723
- Wk 7: at Furman · p 0.415
- Wk 8: vs The Citadel · p 0.205
- Wk 10: vs Wofford · p 0.075
- Wk 11: at East Tennessee State · p 0.380
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.482
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 17-35