East Tennessee State
Southern · 1-3 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#83
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#48
+2.3 pts · likely #22–88
Strength of schedule
29.8
#58 of 130
Strength of victory
22.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.369
Opp. 37.5% · Opp. opp. 35.8%
Remaining SOS
36.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at The Citadel | L 17-20 | −2.0 | +2.3 | 0.278 | 2 | −1.5 |
| 3 | vs Furman | L 14-27 | −0.3 | −2.3 | 0.215 | 3 | −12.0 |
| 4 | at Robert Morris | W 45-3 | −4.2 | +2.3 | 0.229 | 3 | +26.7 |
| 5 | vs Chattanooga | L 16-24 | +10.1 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at VMI · p 0.212
- Wk 7: at Mercer · p 0.723
- Wk 8: vs Samford · p 0.429
- Wk 9: at Wofford · p 0.129
- Wk 11: vs Western Carolina · p 0.330
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Mars HillDII · W 44-7