Tarleton State
WAC · 2-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 75% of the time
Power
#47
+2.8 pts · likely #15–95
Strength of schedule
13.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
13.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.247
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 74.0%
Remaining SOS
27.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tarleton State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 29-13 | −13.7 | −2.3 | 0.045 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 4 | at North Alabama | W 43-28 | −4.9 | +2.3 | 0.215 | 3 | +10.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at Southern Utah · p 0.429
- Wk 7: at Stephen F. Austin · p 0.288
- Wk 9: vs Sam Houston · p 0.194
- Wk 10: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.345
- Wk 11: at Utah Tech · p 0.153
- Wk 12: vs Houston Christian · p 0.233
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TCUFBS · L 17-59
- Wk 3: vs Eastern New MexicoDII · W 41-6