Stony Brook
CAA · 0-3 vs FCS · 0-4 overall
Strength of record
#94
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#118
−9.6 pts · likely #78–127
Strength of schedule
43.5
#9 of 130
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.632
Opp. 66.7% · Opp. opp. 56.3%
Remaining SOS
34.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stony Brook. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Rhode Island | L 14-35 | +4.0 | −2.3 | 0.312 | 2 | −17.6 |
| 4 | at Richmond | L 7-51 | +7.7 | +2.3 | 0.527 | 1 | −22.6 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | L 10-27 | +10.0 | −2.3 | 0.467 | 2 | −10.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: at New Hampshire · p 0.466
- Wk 7: at Fordham · p 0.497
- Wk 8: vs Maine · p 0.105
- Wk 9: at UAlbany · p 0.379
- Wk 10: vs Morgan State · p 0.235
- Wk 11: vs Towson · p 0.175
- Wk 12: at Monmouth · p 0.563
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at MassachusettsFBS · L 3-20