Indiana State
MVFC · 1-2 vs FCS · 1-3 overall
Strength of record
#69
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#96
−5.5 pts · likely #56–120
Strength of schedule
35.0
#36 of 130
Strength of victory
10.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.490
Opp. 44.4% · Opp. opp. 58.1%
Remaining SOS
37.1
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Indiana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Alabama | W 17-14 OT | −7.2 | −2.3 | 0.105 | 3 | −6.1 |
| 3 | vs Montana | L 14-49 | +11.5 | −2.3 | 0.505 | 1 | −23.0 |
| 5 | at Northern Iowa | L 14-20 | +4.5 | +2.3 | 0.440 | 2 | −0.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs North Dakota State · p 0.599
- Wk 7: at Youngstown State · p 0.543
- Wk 8: vs Illinois State · p 0.286
- Wk 9: at South Dakota State · p 0.539
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota · p 0.254
- Wk 11: at Western Illinois · p 0.125
- Wk 12: vs Missouri State · p 0.252
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at PurdueFBS · L 0-56