Mercer
Southern · 4-0 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#17
A #25-level team matches it 39% of the time
Power
#1
+15.2 pts · likely #1–24
Strength of schedule
20.2
#102 of 130
Strength of victory
20.2
#27
Record SOS
0.377
Opp. 20.8% · Opp. opp. 71.5%
Remaining SOS
37.8
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Morehead State | W 63-13 | −10.0 | −2.3 | 0.075 | 4 | +22.1 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 17-0 | −1.3 | −2.3 | 0.197 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | at Gardner-Webb | W 45-14 | +1.6 | +2.3 | 0.365 | 2 | +29.7 |
| 5 | at Wofford | W 42-7 | −7.3 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 6: vs Western Carolina · p 0.330
- Wk 7: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.269
- Wk 8: at Chattanooga · p 0.604
- Wk 9: at VMI · p 0.212
- Wk 11: vs Furman · p 0.300
- Wk 12: at Samford · p 0.552
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AuburnFBS · L 16-42