Saint Francis
NEC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#34
A #25-level team matches it 73% of the time
Power
#26
+7.3 pts · likely #9–60
Strength of schedule
26.4
#73 of 130
Strength of victory
16.1
#32
Record SOS
0.319
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 62.3%
Remaining SOS
29.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Saint Francis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Richmond | L 21-31 | +9.5 | +2.3 | 0.574 | 1 | +2.4 |
| 3 | at Wagner | W 27-7 | −4.1 | +2.3 | 0.232 | 3 | +15.9 |
| 4 | at Norfolk State | W 45-26 | −7.9 | +2.3 | 0.161 | 3 | +12.3 |
| 5 | vs Central Connecticut State | W 39-13 | −8.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Long Island · p 0.242
- Wk 8: vs Stonehill · p 0.220
- Wk 9: at Sacred Heart · p 0.276
- Wk 10: at Georgetown · p 0.148
- Wk 11: vs Duquesne · p 0.183
- Wk 12: at Merrimack · p 0.326
- Wk 13: at Delaware · p 0.682
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at AkronFBS · L 23-30