Computer ratings · FCS vs FCS games only

FCS College Football Ratings & Strength of Schedule

2024 Week 4 · through Saturday, September 21

Early-season ratings are provisional: too few FCS games connect the league yet, so last season still carries real weight.

Season

Week

How this week's numbers compare

Power (0 = average team): #1 +31.0 · #10 +15.3 · middle +0.8
SOS (higher is harder): hardest 76.3 · #10 54.8 · middle 30.8 · easiest 1.3
SOR (lower is better): #1 13% · #25 84%

Power is in points: a +20 team would be favored by about 20 over an average FCS team on a neutral field, and by 10 over a +10 team. SOS, SOR, and SOV are measured against a #25-level team: one as strong as the 25th-best team in these ratings usually is at season's end (+9.0 points). That comes from these ratings, not the poll. An SOS of 50 means a #25-level team would lose about half of these games; above 50, the opponents were, on average, better than that.

What these columns mean

#: Rank in the column you sorted by (strength of record unless you pick another). "—" means too few FCS games to rank.
vs FCS: Record against FCS teams. These are the only games any number here counts.
All games: Record in every game, including opponents outside FCS. For reference only.
SOR: Strength of record: how often a #25-level team would do at least this well against this exact schedule. Lower is harder to achieve.
Power: Points better than an average FCS team on a neutral field. The difference between two teams is the expected margin.
SOS: Strength of schedule, 0–100: on average, how often a #25-level team would lose each of these games. Higher is harder.
SOS rank: Rank by SOS. Teams need 3 FCS games to be ranked.
SOV: Strength of victory: SOS counting only the games the team won.
Record SOS: NCAA RPI-style schedule strength from records only: 2/3 opponents' win % plus 1/3 their opponents' win %.

Only games between two FCS teams count. Method v1 · 157 FCS games · run 97383fa36e0d

Team

vs FCS

All games

SOS rank

VMISouthern

0-3

0-4

100%

−16.5

23.7

—

0.444

37.2

Utah TechUAC

0-3

0-4

100%

−9.8

44.4

—

0.488

40.2

Northern ColoradoBig Sky

0-3

0-4

100%

−10.7

45.8

—

0.347

41.9

North AlabamaUAC

0-4

0-5

100%

−4.1

49.0

—

0.667

38.5

Mississippi Valley StateSWAC

0-4

100%

−20.9

26.6

—

0.347

17.0

MaristPioneer

0-3

100%

−21.9

24.7

—

0.324

9.6

Long IslandNEC

0-3

0-4

100%

−3.7

41.3

—

0.559

25.6

FordhamPatriot

0-3

0-4

100%

−9.6

28.7

—

0.704

31.3

East Texas A&MSouthland

0-3

0-4

100%

−10.6

46.4

—

0.778

25.2

BryantCAA

0-3

1-3

100%

−3.6

60.2

—

0.549

37.3

MercyhurstNEC

0-3

1-3

100%

−11.1

41.3

—

0.525

24.2

Sacred HeartFCS Indep.

1-2

2-2

100%

−9.9

9.2

18.9

0.278

29.5

FurmanSouthern

1-2

1-3

100%

+4.6

21.9

1.9

0.315

33.4

Prairie View A&MSWAC

1-2

1-3

100%

−10.3

11.0

5.2

0.154

21.9

Delaware StateMEAC

1-2

1-3

100%

−17.4

19.9

19.3

0.395

25.0

GeorgetownPatriot

2-2

100%

−7.6

10.2

8.2

0.139

30.7

Youngstown StateMVFC

1-2

1-3

99%

+9.2

32.2

4.1

0.500

54.8

Norfolk StateMEAC

1-2

2-3

99%

−6.2

22.1

10.0

0.528

23.2

WagnerNEC

1-2

2-2

99%

−12.0

20.8

11.6

0.648

23.8

BucknellPatriot

2-1

2-2

99%

−8.7

5.5

3.8

0.179

31.2

Tennessee StateOVC

2-2

99%

−7.2

26.8

2.2

0.421

33.2

Eastern WashingtonBig Sky

1-2

1-3

99%

+1.7

28.1

46.4

0.293

48.3

SouthernSWAC

1-2

2-2

99%

−6.5

26.0

13.7

0.435

21.9

Charleston SouthernOVC

1-2

99%

−8.3

34.0

59.8

0.370

28.6

ColgatePatriot

1-2

1-3

98%

−1.9

30.2

14.8

0.569

30.7

StonehillNEC

1-2

98%

−11.1

34.3

10.8

0.648

25.2

The CitadelSouthern

1-2

2-2

98%

−9.0

34.9

18.6

0.481

31.0

Austin PeayUAC

1-2

1-3

97%

+5.2

40.2

10.8

0.617

29.7

MonmouthCAA

1-2

2-2

97%

+6.4

32.6

36.7

0.375

41.7

ElonCAA

1-2

1-3

97%

+4.1

36.0

59.3

0.349

35.7

Holy CrossPatriot

1-3

96%

+10.9

44.6

30.0

0.574

29.6

RichmondCAA

2-1

2-2

96%

+5.6

12.6

9.9

0.519

35.9

UT MartinOVC

1-2

1-3

96%

+7.3

42.4

14.0

0.534

30.3

CampbellCAA

1-2

1-3

95%

+1.4

42.3

59.7

0.667

35.1

LindenwoodOVC

1-2

1-3

94%

−2.0

47.5

16.0

0.488

28.7

West GeorgiaUAC

1-2

94%

−4.3

41.5

28.9

0.639

34.6

Western CarolinaSouthern

1-2

1-3

94%

+5.7

47.6

52.2

0.458

33.5

North Carolina CentralMEAC

2-1

2-2

93%

+3.4

17.3

17.4

0.148

20.7

Weber StateBig Sky

2-1

2-2

91%

+10.1

19.1

16.3

0.491

41.0

MaineCAA

2-2

88%

−3.8

38.1

25.8

0.579

50.1

TowsonCAA

1-2

1-3

85%

+5.4

61.4

22.6

0.858

31.8

HamptonCAA

2-1

3-1

85%

+2.8

24.6

27.1

0.472

40.9

Abilene ChristianUAC

2-1

2-2

84%

+3.5

30.9

12.5

0.568

44.1

LafayettePatriot

2-1

2-2

81%

+7.4

30.0

27.8

0.370

21.6

Incarnate WordSouthland

2-2

71%

+11.5

51.5

25.7

0.583

33.7

Montana StateBig Sky

3-0

4-0

71%

+16.9

10.9

0.366

47.7

McNeeseSouthland

3-1

3-2

60%

+1.8

32.9

22.8

0.713

30.3

Illinois StateMVFC

3-0

3-1

58%

+9.3

16.3

0.639

49.3

MontanaBig Sky

3-1

52%

+15.3

36.7

27.8

0.648

37.3

Southern IllinoisMVFC

2-1

2-2

52%

+10.5

48.7

53.6

0.690

53.9

DelawareCAA

3-0

50%

+15.3

20.0

0.269

36.1

UC DavisBig Sky

3-0

3-1

50%

+6.2

18.5

0.241

47.1

Missouri StateMVFC

2-1

2-2

49%

+10.7

49.8

37.5

0.551

51.6

WoffordSouthern

2-1

49%

+1.6

50.9

54.3

0.806

34.5

Tarleton StateUAC

3-0

3-1

46%

+9.3

22.8

0.620

36.6

LehighPatriot

3-0

3-1

45%

+4.0

22.6

0.444

37.9

Stony BrookCAA

3-0

3-1

42%

−0.0

23.0

0.519

42.4

William & MaryCAA

3-0

3-1

39%

+9.9

25.0

0.537

29.6

Central ArkansasUAC

3-0

3-1

38%

+17.6

25.7

0.435

30.8

LamarSouthland

3-0

3-1

34%

−1.2

26.8

0.620

35.1

MercerSouthern

4-0

32%

+11.9

21.5

0.417

36.0

North Dakota StateMVFC

3-0

3-1

31%

+19.1

30.8

0.713

57.5

New HampshireCAA

3-0

3-1

30%

+14.3

28.0

0.426

42.8

VillanovaCAA

3-0

3-1

28%

+15.5

34.2

0.574

39.2

Rhode IslandCAA

3-0

3-1

28%

+7.3

33.8

0.426

40.0

North DakotaMVFC

3-0

3-1

27%

+12.0

30.8

0.903

53.3

Southeast Missouri StateOVC

3-0

3-1

13%

+12.7

43.2

0.552

20.9

—

South Dakota StateMVFC

2-0

3-1

32%

+31.0

43.1

small sample

43.1

0.785

56.3

—

Sacramento StateBig Sky

2-0

2-2

54%

+16.8

25.7

small sample

25.7

0.583

35.7

—

South DakotaMVFC

1-0

2-1

78%

+16.3

22.0

small sample

22.0

0.833

51.6

—

IdahoBig Sky

2-0

3-1

34%

+15.9

41.6

small sample

41.6

0.833

39.7

—

YaleIvy

1-0

33%

+12.5

67.4

small sample

67.4

0.444

35.8

—

HarvardIvy

1-0

99%

+10.6

1.3

small sample

1.3

0.000

42.3

—

DartmouthIvy

1-0

90%

+10.1

9.7

small sample

9.7

0.333

35.4

—

Eastern KentuckyUAC

2-0

2-2

80%

+9.1

10.4

small sample

10.4

0.444

40.7

—

PennIvy

0-1

100%

+7.1

76.3

small sample

—

0.667

34.3

—

East Tennessee StateSouthern

1-1

2-2

56%

+7.0

67.0

small sample

60.7

0.676

30.7

—

Stephen F. AustinSouthland

1-1

2-2

96%

+6.2

23.4

small sample

11.1

0.407

25.7

—

ChattanoogaSouthern

0-1

0-3

100%

+5.8

48.9

small sample

—

0.750

30.2

—

Northern IowaMVFC

2-0

2-2

88%

+5.7

6.2

small sample

6.2

0.167

59.4

—

ColumbiaIvy

1-0

54%

+5.3

45.8

small sample

45.8

0.750

34.6

—

UAlbanyCAA

1-1

1-2

92%

+5.2

37.7

small sample

12.7

0.611

36.9

—

Northern ArizonaBig Sky

1-1

2-2

88%

+4.8

38.1

small sample

21.2

0.326

41.0

—

Gardner-WebbOVC

1-1

1-3

99%

+4.1

14.1

small sample

6.2

0.417

26.1

—

Florida A&MSWAC

2-0

2-2

77%

+3.5

12.4

small sample

12.4

0.708

16.0

—

DuquesneNEC

1-0

2-2

33%

+3.5

66.8

small sample

66.8

0.500

14.8

—

Southern UtahUAC

0-2

1-3

100%

+2.9

26.6

small sample

—

0.417

37.3

—

Nicholls StateSouthland

1-1

1-3

99%

+2.5

35.5

small sample

1.8

0.472

26.8

—

Grambling StateSWAC

2-0

3-1

59%

+2.0

22.6

small sample

22.6

0.625

14.1

—

BrownIvy

1-0

80%

+1.7

20.3

small sample

20.3

0.444

39.8

—

Texas SouthernSWAC

1-1

1-2

95%

+1.2

22.8

small sample

16.7

0.611

17.8

—

Morgan StateMEAC

1-1

2-2

77%

+1.1

48.0

small sample

46.0

0.583

19.3

—

PrincetonIvy

0-1

100%

+1.1

38.8

small sample

—

0.750

41.5

—

ButlerPioneer

1-0

3-0

67%

+0.8

33.5

small sample

33.5

0.667

8.4

—

SamfordSouthern

1-1

1-2

96%

+0.3

18.9

small sample

19.3

0.181

30.8

—

Jackson StateSWAC

1-1

2-2

97%

+0.0

19.2

small sample

13.7

0.648

16.5

—

Southeastern LouisianaSouthland

1-1

1-3

76%

−0.7

57.6

small sample

27.7

0.667

29.9

—

Alabama StateSWAC

0-2

1-2

100%

−0.9

32.3

small sample

—

0.167

15.8

—

Murray StateMVFC

1-1

1-2

100%

−1.2

11.2

small sample

2.1

0.222

58.6

—

Idaho StateBig Sky

1-1

2-2

77%

−1.8

49.0

small sample

37.4

0.583

45.2

—

Central Connecticut StateNEC

2-0

2-2

68%

−2.0

17.3

small sample

17.3

0.250

30.7

—

Robert MorrisNEC

2-0

2-2

80%

−2.2

10.6

small sample

10.6

0.417

22.2

—

Eastern IllinoisOVC

1-1

1-3

93%

−2.6

32.5

small sample

14.2

0.833

28.5

—

Tennessee TechOVC

1-0

1-2

89%

−2.6

10.6

small sample

10.6

0.556

29.8

—

South Carolina StateMEAC

1-1

1-2

93%

−3.0

30.7

small sample

15.5

0.708

20.2

—

Portland StateBig Sky

0-1

0-3

100%

−3.1

52.5

small sample

—

0.500

49.3

—

HowardMEAC

1-1

2-2

99%

−3.6

18.9

small sample

4.2

0.361

21.3

—

DrakePioneer

1-1

70%

−4.2

54.8

small sample

47.8

0.528

13.8

—

Indiana StateMVFC

1-1

1-2

98%

−4.8

17.6

small sample

9.1

0.500

46.1

—

MerrimackFCS Indep.

1-1

1-3

98%

−4.8

14.9

small sample

19.7

0.549

22.1

—

San DiegoPioneer

1-1

2-1

96%

−6.7

37.5

small sample

6.0

0.833

8.8

—

Saint FrancisNEC

0-2

1-3

100%

−7.0

13.3

small sample

—

0.333

16.9

—

Houston ChristianSouthland

0-1

1-3

100%

−7.3

40.4

small sample

—

0.833

28.0

—

CornellIvy

0-1

100%

−7.7

23.2

small sample

—

0.222

39.0

—

Bethune-CookmanSWAC

0-1

0-4

100%

−9.4

44.6

small sample

—

0.750

21.1

—

DaytonPioneer

1-1

2-1

97%

−9.4

16.8

small sample

13.3

0.167

9.9

—

Alcorn StateSWAC

0-1

1-3

100%

−9.5

31.1

small sample

—

0.722

18.2

—

Cal PolyBig Sky

0-1

1-2

100%

−10.7

19.8

small sample

—

0.333

46.4

—

St. Thomas (MN)Pioneer

0-2

1-3

100%

−11.5

28.1

small sample

—

0.417

11.1

—

DavidsonPioneer

0-1

2-1

100%

−11.6

12.4

small sample

—

0.222

9.1

—

Western IllinoisOVC

0-1

0-3

100%

−11.6

62.9

small sample

—

0.833

29.4

—

Morehead StatePioneer

0-2

2-2

100%

−13.1

62.8

small sample

—

0.701

13.5

—

Alabama A&MSWAC

0-1

2-2

100%

−13.2

36.1

small sample

—

0.250

17.9

—

North Carolina A&TCAA

0-2

1-3

100%

−14.0

44.4

small sample

—

0.500

42.4

—

ValparaisoPioneer

0-2

2-2

100%

−15.6

49.4

small sample

—

0.417

10.8

—

PresbyterianPioneer

0-2

2-2

100%

−17.3

46.0

small sample

—

0.417

11.3

—

Northwestern StateSouthland

0-2

0-4

100%

−18.1

22.1

small sample

—

0.250

32.3

—

Arkansas-Pine BluffSWAC

0-2

1-3

100%

−19.2

39.2

small sample

—

0.556

17.9

—

StetsonPioneer

0-2

2-2

100%

−21.0

50.6

small sample

—

0.056

13.7