Murray State
MVFC · 1-1 vs FCS · 1-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#71
−1.2 pts · likely #39–101
Strength of schedule
11.2
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
2.1
1 wins
Record SOS
0.222
Opp. 0.0% · Opp. opp. 66.7%
Remaining SOS
58.6
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Butler | L 17-19 | −0.4 | −2.8 | 0.204 | 3 | −4.0 |
| 3 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-8 | −18.1 | −2.8 | 0.021 | 4 | +11.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at North Dakota · p 0.658
- Wk 6: vs South Dakota · p 0.625
- Wk 7: at Indiana State · p 0.230
- Wk 8: vs Illinois State · p 0.429
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota State · p 0.692
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.954
- Wk 11: vs Missouri State · p 0.472
- Wk 13: at Southern Illinois · p 0.624
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 0-51