Idaho State
Big Sky · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 77% of the time
Power
#73
−1.8 pts · likely #38–104
Strength of schedule
49.0
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
37.4
1 wins
Record SOS
0.583
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 75.0%
Remaining SOS
45.2
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at North Dakota | L 28-52 | +10.1 | +2.8 | 0.607 | 1 | −9.1 |
| 4 | vs Southern Utah | W 38-28 | +7.1 | −2.8 | 0.374 | 2 | +10.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Montana State · p 0.630
- Wk 6: at Cal Poly · p 0.127
- Wk 7: vs Portland State · p 0.149
- Wk 8: at Northern Arizona · p 0.468
- Wk 9: vs Sacramento State · p 0.638
- Wk 11: at Weber State · p 0.606
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.389
- Wk 13: vs Idaho · p 0.613
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Oregon StateFBS · L 15-38
- Wk 2: vs Western OregonDII · W 50-10