North Dakota
MVFC · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-1 overall
Strength of record
#2
A #25-level team matches it 27% of the time
Power
#14
+12.0 pts · likely #7–49
Strength of schedule
30.8
#33 of 129
Strength of victory
30.8
#4
Record SOS
0.903
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 70.8%
Remaining SOS
53.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Montana | W 27-24 | +16.0 | −2.8 | 0.613 | 1 | +15.5 |
| 3 | vs Idaho State | W 52-28 | +0.8 | −2.8 | 0.227 | 3 | +19.4 |
| 4 | vs San Diego | W 41-24 | −8.4 | −2.8 | 0.085 | 4 | +7.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: vs Murray State · p 0.190
- Wk 6: at North Dakota State · p 0.812
- Wk 8: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.336
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.585
- Wk 10: at Indiana State · p 0.230
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.904
- Wk 12: vs South Dakota · p 0.625
- Wk 13: at Illinois State · p 0.581
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 3-21