San Diego
Pioneer · 1-1 vs FCS · 2-1 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 96% of the time
Power
#93
−6.7 pts · likely #58–116
Strength of schedule
37.5
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
6.0
1 wins
Record SOS
0.833
Opp. 100.0% · Opp. opp. 50.0%
Remaining SOS
8.8
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against San Diego. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Cal Poly | W 27-21 | −11.0 | −2.8 | 0.060 | 4 | −7.5 |
| 4 | at North Dakota | L 24-41 | +13.4 | +2.8 | 0.690 | 1 | −2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Drake · p 0.249
- Wk 6: vs Presbyterian · p 0.024
- Wk 8: vs Marist · p 0.010
- Wk 9: at St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.118
- Wk 10: vs Davidson · p 0.050
- Wk 11: at Dayton · p 0.148
- Wk 12: vs Stetson · p 0.013
- Wk 13: at Morehead State · p 0.094
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Central WashingtonDII · W 26-7