Valparaiso
Pioneer · 0-2 vs FCS · 2-2 overall
Strength of record
—
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#121
−15.6 pts · likely #93–127
Strength of schedule
49.4
Unranked: too few games
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.417
Opp. 50.0% · Opp. opp. 25.0%
Remaining SOS
10.8
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (2)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Valparaiso. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Northern Iowa | L 7-35 | +4.3 | +2.8 | 0.449 | 2 | −19.5 |
| 2 | at Youngstown State | L 25-59 | +7.6 | +2.8 | 0.538 | 1 | −21.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 5: at Morehead State · p 0.094
- Wk 6: vs Drake · p 0.144
- Wk 8: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.058
- Wk 9: at Marist · p 0.027
- Wk 11: vs Butler · p 0.231
- Wk 12: at Dayton · p 0.148
- Wk 13: vs Davidson · p 0.050
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: vs Indiana WesleyanNon-NCAA · W 20-17
- Wk 4: vs RooseveltDII · W 31-23